The High Cost of an Illegal Alien Amnesty
FAIR Projects a $61.5 Billion a Year Local Price Tag by 2010
Washington, D.C.—If an illegal alien amnesty and guest worker program similar to the one being contemplated by the United States Senate and supported by President Bush were enacted, the cost burden to state and local governments would be staggering, projects an analysis by the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR). FAIR estimates that state and local costs associated with illegal immigration for public education, health care and incarceration, now about $36 billion a year, would balloon to $61.5 billion by 2010 a 70 percent increase and increase to $106.3 billion by 2020.
As a result of an amnesty and a vastly expanded guest worker program, millions of current illegal aliens would gain legal access to government programs and services. Moreover, newly legalized aliens would be allowed to bring their dependents to this country, adding to the burdens on schools and public health care. Similarly, state and local governments would have to provide for the education and health care of the dependents of the 400,000 new guest workers called for in the Senate proposal. Contrary to claims by proponents of amnesty, the tax contributions of newly legalized illegal aliens would not offset the additional costs. The estimated 12 million illegal aliens in the U.S. are overwhelmingly poorly educated and low skilled. Even with legalization, their earning potential would be very limited. With the ability to legitimately claim dependents on their returns, their tax contributions would be negligible at best, and with programs like the Earned Income Tax Credit, many will actually get more back than they pay in.
“From every possible angle, an illegal alien amnesty and guest worker program would be a fiscal and administrative nightmare,” said Dan Stein, president of FAIR. “Never mind the fact that an illegal alien amnesty is a moral betrayal of the American public and immigrants who played by the rules. It would be an unfunded federal mandate that will bankrupt states, counties and cities all across the United States.” None of the federal or local costs associated with an illegal alien amnesty or a massive guest worker program has even been considered as part of the Senate’s deliberations. When asked point blank about the ramifications of their proposed legislation, Senate amnesty and guest worker supporters admitted that they have not been worked out. “The devil is in the details,” said the ranking Democrat on the Judiciary Committee, Patrick Leahy of Vermont.
“‘The devil is in the details’ is an utterly reckless and irresponsible way to conduct public policy,” responded Stein. “The fiscal, social, environmental and demographic consequences of what the Senate is proposing would be staggering. In an effort to respond to special interest pressure, the Senate and the Bush Administration seem prepared to rush forward without any rational assessment of what it would mean for the future of the nation. We have seen where the ‘devil is in the details’ approach has gotten us in Iraq. The president and others pushing amnesty and guest workers have an obligation to think this one all the way through before acting,” Stein concluded.
A breakdown of the calculation of amnesty costs and a state by state impact analysis can be found at FAIR's web site.


Our findings of the annual net fiscal costs were:
California $8.8 billion ($1,183 per native household)
Arizona $1.03 billion ($717 per native household)
Texas $3.73 billion ($725 per native household)
Florida4 $.91 billion ($315 per native household)


Alternatively, if comprehensive reform measures are adopted to deter illegal immigration and to encourage those currently in the country illegally to return to their home countries, these significantly increased cost burdens could be avoided, and over time the burden could be significantly reduced.
Current $millions 2010 $millions 2020 $millions
Alabama $112 $195 $346
Alaska $31 $54 $94
Arizona $1,300 $2,254 $3,990
Arkansas $117 $202 $356
California $10,529 $17,813 $30,727
Colorado $711 $1,217 $2,124
Connecticut $259 $441 $766
Delaware $65 $112 $198
District of Columbia $53 $88 $150
Florida $1,820 $3,094 $5,352
Georgia $1,199 $2,058 $3,595
Hawaii $9 $15 $25
Idaho $84 $148 $264
Illinois $2,341 $3,917 $6,699
Indiana $259 $434 $743
Iowa $121 $203 $349
Kansas $235 $396 $685
Kentucky $67 $117 $207
Louisiana $26 $43 $72
Maine $5 $8 $14
Maryland $331 $551 $934
Massachusetts $580 $992 $1,737
Michigan $394 $656 $1,111
Minnesota $345 $589 $1,023
Mississippi $32 $54 $94
Missouri $116 $194 $330
Montana $5 $8 $14
Nebraska $126 $213 $367
Nevada $518 $950 $1,784
New Hampshire $11 $19 $34
New Jersey $1,688 $2,816 $4,781
New Mexico $194 $328 $566
New York $3,495 $5,669 $9,410
North Carolina $997 $1,721 $3,027
North Dakota $10 $16 $27
Ohio $224 $372 $627
Oklahoma $207 $356 $624
Oregon $479 $830 $1,466
Pennsylvania $285 $477 $812
Rhode Island $99 $173 $308
South Carolina $186 $333 $615
South Dakota $5 $8 $14
Tennessee $202 $351 $624
Texas $4,670 $8,014 $14,041
Utah $244 $417 $727
Vermont $5 $8 $14
Virginia $560 $951 $1,636
Washington $665 $1,149 $2,020
West Virginia $13 $21 $35
Wisconsin $249 $425 $738
Wyoming $5 $8 $14
Total $36,283 $61,480 $106,313