Thread: Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll

Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll

by Mark Murray

Hillary Clinton is ahead of Donald Trump by double digits with just over three weeks until Election Day, according to a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted entirely after the second presidential debate.

In a four-way race, Democrat Clinton holds an 11-point lead over Republican Trump among likely voters, 48 percent to 37 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 7 percent and the Green Party's Jill Stein at 2 percent.

In a two-way contest without Johnson and Stein, Clinton is ahead by 10 points, 51 percent to 41 percent.
Oct 16 2016, 9:53 am ET

An earlier NBC/WSJ poll — conducted two days after 2005 video surfaced of Trump making vulgar comments to describe kissing and groping women — found Clinton leading by double digits among likely voters. But after another day of polling taken immediately after the Oct. 9 debate, the entire Oct. 8-10 poll showed Clinton's lead at nine points in the four-way contest (46 percent to 37 percent) and 10 points in a head-to-head race (50 percent to 40 percent).

To put Clinton's current 11-point lead into perspective, Barack Obama beat John McCain by seven points nationally in 2008. And Obama's margin of victory over Mitt Romney in 2012 was four points.

"Donald Trump's chances of winning this election have faded," says Democratic pollster Fred Yang of Hart Research Associates, which conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff and his firm Public Opinion Strategies.

"This poll is showing the writing on the wall," Yang adds.

And the Republican McInturff observes that Trump "is in a weaker position than in September," and that his numbers in the poll don't align with anyone who has gone on to win a presidential election.

Clinton Up By 20 Pts Among Women

Looking inside the numbers of the two-way horse race, Clinton holds a 20-point lead among female voters (55 percent to 35 percent), while Trump is ahead among men by just three points (48 percent to 45 percent).

Clinton also has the advantage among African Americans (86 percent to 9 percent), non-white voters (76 percent to 16 percent) and those ages 18-34 (54 percent to 36 percent).

Trump, meanwhile, holds the edge among independents (41 percent to 36 percent) and white voters (51 percent to 40 percent). But there is a difference among whites: Those without college degrees prefer Trump by a 56 percent-to-36 percent margin, while those with college degrees break evenly between Trump and Clinton, 45 percent to 45 percent.

Access Hollywood video of Trump is the 4th-most recognized story in history of NBC/WSJ poll

As for the 2005 video of Trump talking about women in vulgar and crude terms, 95 percent of voters say they saw, read or heard about that news story - which is the fourth-most recognized story in the history of the NBC/WSJ poll (behind the Orlando terrorist attack, the spread of Ebola in West Africa and the Ebola patient in Dallas).

But just 32 percent say that the video disqualifies Trump from being president and believe that he should with withdraw from the race, versus 53 percent who disagree.

Did the debates make a difference?

Additionally in the NBC/WSJ poll, 31 percent of voters said the presidential debates made them more likely to back Hillary Clinton, versus 14 percent who said they made them more likely to support Trump.

Fifty-two percent said the debates made no difference.

The final presidential debate takes place on Wednesday, Oct. 19.

Trump leads (narrowly) on trade, economy; Clinton ahead on being a commander-in-chief and women's issues

On the issues, more voters say Trump would do a better job protecting America's interests on trade issues (by 46 percent to 43 percent). And he holds a one-point advantage on dealing with the economy (44 percent say Trump would do a better job, compared with 43 percent who say Clinton would).

But Clinton has the advantage on the other issues - making appointments to the Supreme Court (48 percent to 38 percent), changing the country for the better (44 percent to 36 percent), being a good commander-in-chief (52 percent to 32 percent) and dealing with issues of concern to women (67 percent to 17 percent).

When it comes to personal characteristics, Clinton leads on having the right temperament to be president (59 percent to 23 percent), while Trump narrowly leads on being honest and straightforward (38 percent to 34 percent).

Democrats don't look as strong down the ballot

Despite Clinton's double-digit lead over Trump in the presidential race, the NBC/WSJ poll finds a closer contest down the ballot. Forty-six percent of registered voters prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, while 44 percent want a Republican-controlled Congress.

That two-point advantage for Democrats is down from six points in the earlier NBC/WSJ poll (48 percent to 42 percent).

Among likely voters in new poll, 47 percent want a Democratic-controlled Congress and 44 percent want a GOP-controlled one.

By a 53 percent-to-40 percent margin, the poll also finds registered voters saying they'd be more likely to support a Republican candidate who will be a check and balance to Hillary Clinton and congressional Democrats, versus a Democratic candidate who will help Clinton and Democrats pass their agenda.

53 percent approve of Obama's job as president

Finally, the NBC/WSJ poll finds President Obama's job-approval rating at 53 percent among registered voters, which is up one point from last month.

It's the six-straight month where the president's rating has been above 50 percent in the poll, and it's his highest rating since Dec. 2012, after he won re-election four years ago.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/firs...bc-wsj-n666986

This is totally rigged poll by a corrupt corporation that is responsible for Pussy Gate. Shame on you NBC.

Trump is leading in the LA Times USC Poll.

Trump is leading in the Rasmussen Poll.

Clinton is leading by only 4 points in the ABC Poll.

Other polls taken earlier, Clinton was leading but by far less than 11 points.

Your NBC/Wall Street poll no longer has any credibility at all.

Rigged Poll? WSJ/NBC Poll with 11 Point Clinton Lead Includes 14 Percent More Obama Voters

Kristinn Taylor Oct 16th, 2016 11:34 am

The Wall Street Journal-NBC News poll released Sunday morning attempts to bury the campaign of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump going onto the third and final debate with Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton with a poll that gives Clinton a daunting eleven point lead among likely voters, 48% to 37%.

A deep dive in the internals of the poll shows those interviewed voted in 2012 for incumbent Barack Obama 46% to 32% over Mitt Romney.



Obama beat Romney by almost four points in 2012 (3.9%), meaning the WSJ/NBC poll was padded with 10 percent extra Obama voters.

Also Democrats, including independent leaners, were 44 percent of the sample compared to just 37 percent Republicans including independent leaners. A recent Pew Research poll put the 2016 electorate at 48% Democrat/lean and 44% Republican/lean.

Women were 53 percent of the sample with 47 percent men which was the makeup of the 2012 electorate.

The poll was a joint effort of the Democrat polling firm Hart Research Associates and the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies conducted October 10-13 with “1000 Registered Voters, including 450 respondents with a cell phone only, 42 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.”

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016...-obama-voters/

Thank you Jean!! That explains it!! So they just hang up on Republicans who voted for Romney or someone else, and probably also hang up on Republicans who tell them they're supporting Trump. NBC is rotten to the core for what they did with the "tape". This corporation has no respect for the people who work for them, like Donald Trump who was working for them at the time of the "tape", they have no respect for the contracts that protect the private moments and speech of people who work for them, they have no respect for the rule of law, which means they have no respect for the our country or our citizens.

NBC has decided to either become or show itself as an evil force in America, daring to violate individual rights to privacy, violate contracts, violate the rule of law, all to try to swing an election to Hillary Clinton.

Well, it didn't work!! Honest polls show clearly that the NBC Pussy Gate was a huge fail. It exposed that NBC is our nation's new porn store that has turned our national media into something worse than the filthy 42nd Street Times Square Area of New York, that was over-run by drug dealers, prostitutes and homeless people, BEFORE Donald Trump revitalized the area and turned it into a clean, vibrant, safe and beautiful place, exactly like what he wants to do, can do and will do for our entire country.

SHAME ON YOU NBC! And you too Wall Street Journal. We know who you are and what you are, and it's such a tragedy that you have turned your once credible and reliable corporations into a stinky whore's nest. I'm not sure how you expect to make this pay for you because Globalists can't buy advertising when American customers turned our backs on them, because of YOUR indecent behavior trying to rig a Presidential Election.

You're sickening is what you are. Absolutely despicable.

TRUMP!! TRUMP!! TRUMP!! TRUMP!! TRUMP!! TRUMP!! TRUMP!! TRUMP!!

BS! Both NBC and WSJ are highly biased pro-illegal alien amnesty publications aka extensions of Hillary Clinton's campaign.

W

I had this happen a few times. They ask which party you support and I say I am independent they hang up. When they ask who you will be supporting in this election if it was today I say Trump the line goes dead. They are trying to convince Trump voters there is no sense in voting because he has no chance of winning. Hellery is to far ahead in polls. A sneaky way that has been used many times in many elections for many years to sway the voters to stay home. So their voters show up and their party and candidate wins. It a type of propaganda ploy.