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    Larry Elder’s recall campaign targets a new opponent: the press

    Larry Elder’s recall campaign targets a new opponent: the press


    • James Rainey and Adam Elmahrek Los Angeles Times (TNS)
    • Aug 18, 2021 Updated 22 hrs ago


    Leading in the polls and fundraising amid a crowded field in the campaign to try to replace Gov. Gavin Newsom, talk radio personality Larry Elder has launched a time-honored new front in the California recall election: bashing the media.

    Elder has banned one of the state’s top newspapers from covering his events and refused to take questions from a Los Angeles Times opinion columnist, depicting himself as a victim of duplicity and unfairness.

    The Elder campaign revoked the Sacramento Bee’s access Monday, charging that the newspaper “doctored” responses the candidate gave for an online “Voter Guide” feature. Elder included critiques of Newsom in his written responses. The Bee’s editors edited out the attacks, saying they had requested candidates limit their responses to policy.

    A few days earlier, Elder sharply rejected Times columnist Jean Guerrero when she tried to ask him a question about immigration during a video interview with opinion editors and writers from the newspaper. The candidate’s spokeswoman accused the writer of engaging in “bigotry masquerading as journalism.”

    The media bashing echoes past rebukes by conservative politicians, from Richard Nixon to Donald Trump. Experts said the attacks may help Elder whip up excitement among his most fervent supporters.
    ”Republicans really, really don’t like the media, so any critique of the media is welcome among Republican voters,” said Jack Pitney, a professor of government at Claremont McKenna College.

    Conventional political wisdom for generations held that candidates had to maintain some relationship, even with media outlets they considered hostile, because they could not take the risk of losing any avenue to communicate with voters. Politicians now choose from a vastly wider array of platforms and often try to sidestep traditional outlets to reach the public.

    The recall also presents an unusual calculus in which challengers only need to get more votes than rivals to replace the governor, if Newsom does not reach 50%-plus-one of the vote.

    “This is a different kind of campaign, where he does not have to reach a broad electorate to win,” said Pitney, who previously worked for Republican candidates. “He just needs to fire up his core supporters.”

    Elder’s campaign issued a press release Tuesday explaining why it planned to block all the Sacramento paper’s reporters, photographers and editors from attending its events.

    Elder had provided written answers to a series of questions early in August and learned only several days later that the Bee “would not allow negative answers to other candidates,” his campaign said. The newspaper asked Elder’s campaign if it wanted to edit its previous replies, but then published the Voter Guide with its own revisions “without receiving permission or feedback from the Elder campaign,” the campaign said.

    After the objection, Elder’s responses were deleted on Sunday. But Colleen McCain Nelson, the paper’s executive editor, reversed that decision, and Elder’s answers were again posted on the Bee website on Monday, according to the campaign.

    Elder’s representatives said they had previously spent considerable time dealing with staffers from the Sacramento paper, including an hour-long meeting with its editorial board earlier this month. They said they would resume cooperation with the newspaper once the Bee had taken down the “unsanctioned content.”

    McCain Nelson said the Bee’s editorial board would have an editorial in the morning that will respond to Elder. She had no comment, adding, “We just want to focus on covering the recall campaign.”

    Elder’s confrontation with Guerrero came during a video discussion with Times opinion editors and writers on Friday.

    Near the end of the hour-long session, Sewell Chan, editor of the editorial pages, introduced Guerrero. The columnist has written critically about Elder and the man she called his protege, Stephen Miller, who was a fixture on Elder’s radio show when he was a student and stayed in close contact with the host after he became an advisor to President Trump.

    Elder and his spokesperson, Ying Ma, immediately objected to Guerrero’s participation in the group session. They said they had not been informed that the columnist would be part of the interview and would not have agreed to her presence.

    The columnist said in an email that her writing in The Times and in her book about Miller “speaks for itself.”

    Meanwhile, Elder amended a statement of economic interests after disclosure experts told The Times that his initial two-page filing did not meet the legal requirements. The California Democratic Party then filed a complaint with state regulators. The Elder campaign said the lack of detail on the original form was an oversight.

    The new disclosure showed that Elder’s company is worth between $100,000 and $1 million, but his exact wealth is difficult to determine, because the state requires disclosure in broad dollar ranges.

    Elder collected at least $10,000 from several conservative organizations, including the Alachua County (Fla.) Republican Executive Committee and Epoch Times, a far-right newspaper affiliated with the Falun Gong new religious movement.

    Elder also disclosed income from the anti-abortion nonprofit Heartbeatat22, Calvary Chapel Chino Hills, Promedev Relief Factor, a supplement that claims to reduce pain, BLEXIT, the conservative nonprofit Turning Point USA and Salem Media Group, the media company that syndicates his national radio show.

    https://www.bakersfield.com/ap/news/...097d68017.html
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    Latest Polls Of The California Recall Election

    Voters will decide whether to remove Gov. Gavin Newsom and — if removed — whom to replace him with

    Opponents of Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom of California have gathered enough signatures to trigger a recall election for him on Sept. 14 — only the fourth gubernatorial recall election in U.S. history. If a majority of Californians vote “yes” to recall, Newsom will be removed from office.
    Do Californians want to remove Gavin Newsom from office?

    An updating average of 2021 California gubernatorial recall election polls, accounting for each poll's quality, recency and sample size



    July 14July 24Aug. 3Aug. 14Aug. 24Sept. 3Sept. 14Election Day3540455055%Keep 48.8%Keep 48.8%Remove 47.6%Remove 47.6%Aug. 17Keep+1.2Aug. 17KeepA chart showing the polling averages since July 14 for whether to keep California Gov. Gavin Newsom in office or remove him, with dots representing each poll. “Keep” is polling at an average of 48.8 percent, and “Remove” is polling at an average of 47.6 percent.


    Dates Pollster Sample Keep Remove Leader Adjusted Leader
    Aug. 6-12 B+


    YouGov
    1,534 LV 52% 48% Keep +4 Keep +3
    Aug. 2-4 A


    SurveyUSA
    613 LV 40% 51% Remove +11 Remove +9
    Jul. 30-Aug. 1 A-


    Emerson College
    1,000 LV 48% 46% Keep +3 Keep +3
    Jul. 27-29 Core Decision Analytics 731 LV 51% 44% Keep +7 Keep +6
    Jul. 18-24 B/C


    University of California, Berkeley
    2,783 LV 50% 47% Keep +3 Keep +2
    Jul. 19-20 A-


    Emerson College
    1,085 RV 48% 43% Keep +5 Keep +5
    Jun. 11-16 B-


    Change Research
    1,085 RV 54% 40% Keep +14 Keep +12
    Jun. 1-3 B/C


    Moore Information
    682 LV 46% 49% Remove +3 Tie
    Show more polls

    If Newsom is removed from office, the second question on the recall ballot will determine his replacement. Forty-six candidates are in the running, and it just takes a simple plurality to win, meaning a candidate could win with only minority support (there is no runoff). Californians can vote on the second question even if they vote against recalling Newsom on the first question.
    Whom would Californians want to replace Gavin Newsom as governor?

    An updating average of 2021 California gubernatorial replacement election polls, accounting for each poll's quality, recency and sample size



    July 14July 24Aug. 3Aug. 14Aug. 24Sept. 3Sept. 14Election Day0510152025%Cox 6.1%Cox 6.1%Paffrath 9.1%Paffrath 9.1%Elder 19.3%Elder 19.3%Aug. 17 leaderElder+10.2Aug. 17 leaderElderA chart showing the polling averages since July 14 for whom to replace California Gov. Gavin Newsom with (if his recall is successful), with dots representing each poll. Candidates with a polling average of at least 5 percent are listed by name. Republican Larry Elder is leading with an average of 19.3 percent.


    Dates Pollster Sample Leader Adjusted Leader
    Aug. 6-12 B+


    YouGov
    1,534 LV Elder +10 Elder +10 Show all candidates+
    Aug. 2-4 A


    SurveyUSA
    545 LV Paffrath +4 Tie Show all candidates+
    Jul. 30-Aug. 1 A-


    Emerson College
    1,000 LV Elder +15 Elder +14 Show all candidates+
    Jul. 27-29 Core Decision Analytics 731 LV Elder +6 Elder +7 Show all candidates+
    Jul. 18-24 B/C


    University of California, Berkeley
    5,795 RV Elder +4 Elder +7 Show all candidates+
    Jul. 19-20 A-


    Emerson College
    1,085 RV Elder +10 Elder +9 Show all candidates+
    Jun. 1-3 B/C


    Moore Information
    682 LV Cox +12 Cox +9 Show all candidates+

    Download data: polls, trend lines.
    Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.
    Design and development by Aaron Bycoffe. Statistical model by Nate Silver. Research by Mary Radcliffe. Additional contributions by Nathaniel Rakich. Story editing by Sarah Frostenson. Copy editing by Maya Sweedler.


    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...-recall-polls/
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