Thread: Poll: Fiorina Wins Debate, Trump Still Leads

http://morningconsult.com/2015/09/po...p-still-leads/

Poll: Fiorina Wins Debate, Trump Still Leads

Reid Wilson | September 18, 2015

Former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina won Wednesday’s second Republican presidential debate, according to voters who watched the Simi Valley showdown polled by Morning Consult.

It was a performance that vaulted Fiorina into the top tier of a crowded field. A plurality of 29 percent of registered voters who watched the debate said Fiorina won, just higher than the 24 percent who said real estate mogul Donald Trump came out on top. Seven percent said retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson won the debate, while 6 percent each chose former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.).

Who won Wednesday's debate?FiorinaTrumpCarsonBushRubioChristieHuckabee CruzKasichPaulWalker08152330
Who won debate?
Fiorina 29
Trump 24
Carson 7
Bush 6
Rubio 6
Christie 5
Huckabee 3
Cruz 3
Kasich 3
Paul 2
Walker 1

A huge 46 percent plurality said Trump won the first debate, held August 6 in Cleveland. Nine percent chose Carson.

Trump continues to lead the Republican primary field. Thirty-six percent of registered voters who watched the debate said they would choose Trump, compared with 12 percent for Carson and 10 percent for Fiorina. Rubio placed fourth, at 9 percent, followed by 7 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and 6 percent for Bush and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R).

Republican Presidential Primary

ContestTrumpBushCarsonRubioHuckabeeWalkerCruzPaulC hristieFiorinaKasichSantorumJindalGrahamPataki7/27/20158/3/20158/9/20158/16/20158/30/20159/7/20159/13/20159/18/2015010203040
Candidate Trump Bush Carson Rubio Huckabee Walker Cruz Paul Christie Fiorina Kasich Santorum Jindal Graham Pataki
7/27/2015 24 13 8 5 4 9 4 3 5 1 4 2 1 1 1
8/3/2015 25 12 7 6 5 8 7 5 3 1 2 2 3 1
8/9/2015 32 11 9 6 4 6 4 5 4 3 3 1 1 1
8/16/2015 32 12 7 6 6 3 5 4 4 4 3 1 1 1
8/30/2015 37 9 9 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1
9/7/2015 31 9 18 4 4 4 5 2 4 3 2 1 1 1
9/13/2015 33 9 17 3 3 2 6 5 2 3 2 1 1 1
9/18/2015 36 6 12 9 2 1 7 2 6 10 4 1 1

But Fiorina’s upside potential is growing. Nineteen percent of voters said the businesswoman would be their second choice, followed by 15 percent who said Carson was their backup, 12 percent who chose Trump and 10 percent who chose Bush.

Fiorina’s favorable ratings have jumped in recent weeks. Among self-identified Republican voters, 56 percent said they had a favorable opinion of Fiorina, up from 37 percent who said they had a favorable opinion of Fiorina in a Morning Consult poll conducted just before the debate. In that survey, 36 percent said they didn’t know enough about Fiorina to form an opinion; after the debate, just 16 percent said they had no opinion.

Self-identified Republicans see Carson in the most favorable light. More than three quarters, 76 percent, of Republicans who watched the debate see Carson favorably, while 67 percent see Trump favorably and 60 percent say the same about Rubio.

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of __ (Republican voters only) FavorableUnfavorableBushPaulHuckabeeCarsonChristie WalkerRubioCruzFiorinaTrumpKasich0255075100

Favorable Unfavorable
Bush 50 46
Paul 38 48
Huckabee 54 37
Carson 76 14
Christie 50 45
Walker 50 31
Rubio 60 25
Cruz 59 31
Fiorina 56 28
Trump 67 30
Kasich 40 32

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) clocks in with the highest unfavorable rating. Just 38 percent of Republicans who watched the debate see Paul positively, while 48 percent have an unfavorable impression. Bush and Christie are both seen favorably by just 50 percent; Bush has a 46 percent unfavorable rating, and Christie’s stands at 45 percent.

And while some Republican candidates complained they were overlooked on Wednesday’s debate stage, a huge 65 percent majority of voters who watched the debate said CNN’s moderators treated the candidates fairly. Just 24 percent said the moderators were unfair. More than three quarters of those who watched said their reaction to the debate was very or somewhat positive.

The Morning Consult survey polled 504 registered voters who said they watched the Republican primary debate and that they plan to participate in their state’s Republican presidential nominating contest. Of those voters, 69 percent identified themselves as Republicans, and 28 percent called themselves independents.

The poll carried a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.

_________________________

Click on the link to see the charts and graphs because some didn't paste correctly.

Post-Debate Poll: Trump Increases Lead; Fiorina Leaps, Carson Sinks

A Morning Consult poll, released Friday, surveyed 504 registered voters who watched Wednesday’s Republican primary debate and has only good news for Republican frontrunner Donald Trump and Carly Fiorina. While the poll’s sample size is small (with a 4.4% margin of error), the poll’s trend is worth noting.

In this same poll, prior to Wednesday night’s debate, Trump sat at 33% support. Dr. Ben Carson sat in second place with 17% support. Today Trump enjoys 36% support. Carson is still in second place but with just 12% support.

Trump’s lead increased from +16 points to +24%. That’s an +8% jump.

With their shared status as outsiders, it appears as though Carson’s support went to Fiorina. Prior to the debate the former-Hewlett Packard CEO had just 3% support. She now sits in third place with 10%, only -2 points behind second place Carson.

Overall, the Republican Establishment is the Big Loser here. Non-politicians Trump, Carson and Fiorina command 58% of the vote, and that piece of the pie is only growing larger.

Rubio also enjoyed a boost from 2% to 9%. This puts the Florida Senator in 4th place. Texas Senator Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is in 5th place with 7% support. Everyone else is bunched up at 6% or below.

A plurality of 29% believe Fiorina won the debate. Trump came in 2nd with 24%. Carson came in 3rd with just 7%.

Fiorina’s favorability rating jumped from 37% to 56%. Her unfavorable sits at just 28%. Carson does best on this question with a 79% favorable rating. Trump comes in 2nd with 67%. Only 30% see Trump as unfavorable.

Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) and John Kasich scored the worst with 38%, and 40% favorable ratings, respectively. Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, and Scott Walker are all tied up with a 50% favorable rating.

A snap poll released Thursday showed a much different outcome.

Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC

http://www.breitbart.com/big-governm...-carson-drops/

Even if Trump eventually comes out on top, there will probably still be a huge number of Republicans who will squabble about what to do with immigration, to go with the flow or not? It wouldn't be the first time they engaged in self destruction. 2008 was just training, maybe?

GO TRUMP!!!!

Originally Posted by Captainron

Even if Trump eventually comes out on top, there will probably still be a huge number of Republicans who will squabble about what to do with immigration, to go with the flow or not? It wouldn't be the first time they engaged in self destruction. 2008 was just training, maybe?

GO TRUMP!!!!

Well, ALIPAC posted an article that said over 90% of Republicans wanted an end to illegal immigration, so it's a very small % that are actually supporting these other candidates because of immigration. They're supporting them for other reasons and I think those will dissipate once Trump wins the nomination, which I think he will. This is going to be a vicious race as we can already see. And if 90% of Republicans want an end to illegal immigration, then there is a huge group of Democrats and Independents who want the same things we want. So Trump just needs to keep on, keeping on.