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Thread: Poll: Trump Takes 10 Point Lead Over Cruz in Wisconsin’s Home Stretch

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    Senior Member Judy's Avatar
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    Poll: Trump Takes 10 Point Lead Over Cruz in Wisconsin’s Home Stretch

    Poll: Trump Takes 10 Point Lead Over Cruz in Wisconsin’s Home Stretch

    by Matthew Boyle 4 Apr 2016 Washington, DC

    Billionaire businessman Donald Trump has taken a 10-point lead over Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). Wisconsin in the final hours before the critical primary on Tuesday, a new poll released on Monday afternoon shows.

    The bombshell new polling data, from American Research Group (ARG), show Trump’s 42 percent towering over Cruz’s 32 percent in the Badger State. Ohio Gov. John Kasich, for whom it is already mathematically impossible to win the nomination outright before the GOP convention in Cleveland in July, lurks back at 23 percent.

    The poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a five percent margin of error. It was conducted from April 1 to April 3.

    The Washington Post‘s Chris Cillizza signaled this poll is a “siren” worth looking at.

    The results are certainly different than other recent polling that has shown Cruz with a similar lead over Trump. ARG has had mixed results throughout the campaign, finding Trump a point back behind Cruz in Texas.

    Cruz ended up winning Texas by big margins, well more than 10 points. In Florida, ARG had Trump up 25 points over Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) –seven points too many. But in New Hampshire, ARG had Trump up 16 points–which was about right. Trump won the Granite State by 20 points.

    Marquette and Fox Business polls released last week showed Cruz with 10-point leads over Trump and a smattering of other polling over the last week showed Trump trailing Cruz by around five to seven percent.

    It’s unclear if this new ARG poll has any truth to it, but Trump and Cruz have been dueling on the campaign trail over the past few days throughout the state. Both have been barnstorming the state, going all in for Wisconsin.

    Earlier on Monday, Trump suggested he might even win Wisconsin—something that was unthinkable just a couple days ago, as everyone thought Cruz would take the Badger State thanks to the endorsement he got from Gov. Scott Walker.

    Trump compared Wisconsin to South Carolina—where Gov. Nikki Haley backed Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), who has since dropped out of the race. Trump ended up winning decisively in South Carolina.

    “It was over. I was going to get killed. The governor of the state, who is fairly popular” endorsed Rubio, Trump said. “The governor supported Marco and I said, ‘That’s bad.’”

    “But guess what happened? I won in a landslide. Same thing is going to happen here,” Trump said. “I think the same thing.”

    “I don’t know, maybe not,” Trump added.

    If Trump does pull off a come-from-behind victory in Wisconsin, it could be devastating to his remaining rivals.

    “If we do well here, folks, it’s over,” Trump also said on Monday.

    But if Cruz wins, it could cause more damage to Trump—and spark renewed momentum, almost a campaign reset, for Cruz.

    Cruz in a CNN interview pushed back on Trump’s prediction, saying that he thinks ultimately “The people of Wisconsin will decide” what happens.

    http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presid...-home-stretch/
    Last edited by Judy; 04-04-2016 at 08:24 PM.
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  2. #2
    Senior Member Judy's Avatar
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    Oh this is good news! Shows the Trump surge is on!! Keep surging all the way until polls close tomorrow night.

    STAY TRUE!! STAY TRUMP!!
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    Administrator Jean's Avatar
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    Well now, that is interesting.
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    Senior Member Judy's Avatar
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    It is interesting. Until just a couple of weeks ago, Trump was ahead in Wisconsin by 11% and had been ahead like that for a long time. Then the NEVER TRUMP is in full swing, the media is having a hay day, and then out come 2 polls with Cruz ahead by 10%? That's a 21% bump ... impossible. Then is narrows in 3 more polls, Cruz up by 1%, then Cruz up by 6%, then Cruz up by 7%, then yesterday only 5%, all separate polls. Then today, Trump is back up by 10% which is almost the same as the 11% ahead he was about 2 weeks ago.

    This is all very odd, with the oddest thing of all being the 21% bump by Cruz almost overnight, for no reason. Go figure. I think they got a list of folks signed up for the NEVER TRUMP and embedded them into the poll calls. Trump Supporters don't switch. We're ALL IN. So these calls or interviews had to be with specific Cruz people to overweight the outcome intentionally. That's all I can figure to explain it.

    We'll see what happens tomorrow night to see what the real poll says of actual voters.
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