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  1. #1
    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    Pollster Schoen: Post-Florida, GOP Likely to Take Over the Senate

    Pollster Schoen: Post-Florida, GOP Likely to Take Over the Senate

    Wednesday, 12 Mar 2014 08:31 AM
    By David A. Patten


    Tuesday’s stunning defeat of Alex Sink, one of the biggest Democratic names in Florida politics, at the hands of first-time candidate David Jolly in a special election indicates that Democrats will face a wave election in November and likely lose the U.S. Senate, according to Democratic pollster Doug Schoen.

    Jolly defeated Sink 48.5 percent to 46.7 percent in the 13th congressional district election that filled the seat of the late Florida GOP congressman Bill Young. Libertarian Lucas Overby grabbed 4.8 percent.

    Jolly’s upset win was even more significant considering that Overby probably took votes from him disproportionately, pundits say.

    “This election represents a repudiation of the Democrats and Obama,” Schoen told Newsmax in an exclusive interview, adding that the result means the Senate “is now probably better than 50-50 to go Republican, and that the Democrats are in a position that is increasingly becoming weaker and weaker as the days go by.”

    Dr. Larry J. Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, told Newsmax that Democrats “are deeply disappointed by this loss, and should be.”

    Early polls had showed Sink leading Jolly by 7 to 9 points, although more recent polls indicated the race was much closer. Historically, pollsters have had difficulty predicting the outcome of special elections.

    There were a host of reasons why Sink was thought to have the advantage. When she ran for Florida governor in 2010, she not only won 2.5 million votes statewide, but carried the 13th CD. Also, President Obama had carried the district in 2008 and 2012.

    Democrats had been planning for years to grab the St. Petersburg-area district as soon as the popular Young retired. And unlike Jolly, Sink had no primary competition to fight through. Also, it is believed that she outspent her Republican opponent by well over $1 million.

    There had been repeated sniping in recent weeks from GOP insiders that Jolly had run a mediocre campaign. NBC Chief White House correspondent Chuck Todd stated on his MSNBC show "The Daily Rundown" on Tuesday morning that Jolly’s campaign performance had been “C-plus at best.”

    Yet despite these problems, and the likelihood that libertarian Overby siphoned votes from Jolly, Sink still went down to defeat.

    Said Sabato to Newsmax: “The fact that Jolly could win in these circumstances means the hill that Democrats must climb to a majority in November now resembles Mount Everest. Republicans believe anti-Obamacare sentiment and TV ads saved Jolly. The pattern is set for the fall in lots of competitive districts.”

    Schoen said Democrats may have to re-evaluate their assumption that they can survive politically by maintaining that while the Affordable Care Act has flaws, it can be fixed. That messaging leaves them vulnerable to ads charging that they still support Obamacare.

    The Democratic pollster and Fox News contributor also predicted that “Obamacare will be a millstone around every Democrat’s neck” in November, and said “rhetorical games and niceties will not solve the problem.” He also expects Democrats will be much more apt to criticize President Obama’s policies on the campaign trail.

    “Right now, if you said to me: Will the Senate going to go Republican, I would say yes,” said Schoen. “Tuesday morning, I would have said probably it’s a 50-50 proposition.

    “Now I’d say we are looking at the prospect of a tide election, where even less well known, less popular Republicans could win seats that are now distinctly unlikely,” he said.

    © 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

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    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    Republican wins Obamacare test election

    http://www.gopusa.com/news/2014/03/1.../?subscriber=1
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    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    David Jolly Wins Election - Bashes Pelosi

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wdzLt...ature=youtu.be
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    I believe that the major reason Jolly won was that he received enough money to be barely captive and hold down the Democrat money tidal wave to only 4 to one against him.

    Recently politicians have discovered that if they outspend their opponents by 10 or 15 to one, they are almost certain to win the election. They use huge money to dominate the airwaves with negative slanders against their opponent. In effect big money is the only voice heard, and the opponent is, in effect, silenced, buried under the negative ads. This strategy has been labeled "Carped Bombing." It is so effective it is frightening.

    For patriots there is an important message in all of this: We must make certain that our politicians receive enough in small donations to enable them to hold down the enemy's spending ratio to only 4 or 5 to one, or less. Scott Walker beat down a recall election because small contributors enabled him to almost match the big unions dollar for dollar. John Mc Cain, who was in big trouble in Arizona over his pandering to the illegal alien lobby, won the REPUBLICAN PRIMARY election because he used Carpet Bombing to silence his opponent, J.D. Hayworth, a strong opponent to amnesty. Although Hayworth had very little money relative to Mc Cain, it was Hayworth who was sold to gullible Republicans as a puppet for the rich. And there are many other examples.

    The lesson for patriots is this: If you are serious about saving this our country, don't be stingy. Give until it hurts or hurt even worse when you are made a 2nd class citizen, a foreigner in what was once your country.

  5. #5
    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    States With Democratic Governors Raise Taxes; Those With Republicans Lower Them

    May 14, 2014 by Ben Bullard

    THINKSTOCK

    If the Republican Party is working for the people who vote their candidates into office anywhere at all, it appears to be happening in the States, where the election of GOP Governors and lawmakers tends to correlate to results that reflect the party’s platform more closely than at the Federal and executive levels.
    Take a newly released survey of recent taxation trends in all 50 States. In broad terms, those States that have had Republican Governors in office since 2011 have seen a net decrease in State taxes of $36 billion. Over the same time period, States with Democratic Governors have seen a net State-level tax increase of $58 billion.
    The report, released last week by Americans for Tax Reform, notes that the comparison represents a general trend rather than a one-to-one correlation between political affiliation and States’ fiscal policies. Yet the trend is there, led by Democratic Governors Pat Quinn of Illinois ($12 billion in higher taxes) and Martin O’Malley of Maryland ($3 billion since 2011; $11 billion since 2008).
    “It should be noted that many, but not all, Democrat governors have raised taxes,” the report summary states. “In fact, Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D-N.Y.) recently went against the Democratic governor grain by signing a corporate tax cut into law this year.
    “However, in general, Democrat governors have been increasing taxes in their states, while Republican governors have been moving in the opposite direction. With some of the politicians on this list considering a White House run, this is a compilation worth saving.”
    View Americans for Tax Reform’s item-by-item review of each of the tax increase initiatives led by Democratic Governors here. It’s worth mentioning that California voters have approved about $18 billion in increased tax initiatives under Democratic Governor Jerry Brown. Subtract that amount from the national total, and the tax increases under Democratic Governors still total $40 billion.

    http://personalliberty.com/states-de...blicans-lower/
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    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    Kasich holds 15-point lead over FitzGerald among Ohio voters in new Quinnipiac poll

    By Robert Higgs, Northeast Ohio Media Group
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    on May 14, 2014 at 6:15 AM, updated May 14, 2014 at 3:23 PM

    Gov. John Kasich leads Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald by a 15-point margin in a new poll from Quinnipiac University released Wednesday.The Associated Press
    COLUMBUS, Ohio -- Republican Gov. John Kasich has a 15-point lead over his Democratic challenger, Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald, a new poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University shows.
    Voters said they favored the governor 50 percent to 35 percent over FitzGerald in the poll. That compares to a five-point gap in Quinnipiac’s last Ohio poll, which was conducted in February. In that poll, Kasich held a 43-39 percent lead.
    Kasich also scored support from more than 50 percent on other key questions.
    Voters approved of his job performance 56 percent to 33 percent, the highest score he has received in a Quinnipiac poll since his election in 2010. And 53 percent said he deserves to be re-elected. Thirty-seven percent said no on that question.
    Do these polls influence the way you vote? Tell us why in the comments.
    The poll, conducted between May 7 and Monday, surveyed 1,174 registered voters by telephone. Interviewers called both land lines and cell phones. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
    In the February poll, 70 percent of the Quinnipiac respondents said they did not know enough about FitzGerald to decide if they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion. His campaign then viewed that, coupled with just a five-point overall gap, as a positive.
    The former Lakewood mayor in his first term as county executive has never before run for statewide office.
    The poll released Wednesday shows that is still an issue for FitzGerald.
    Although his campaign has aired 60-second radio spots around the state that rap the governor’s performance and laud FitzGerald for offering a better way, 63 percent of the respondents in the new poll still say they don’t know him well enough to form an opinion.
    Kasich, meanwhile, has been using some of his sizable campaign funding edge to buy television air time the last several weeks.
    His first ad began airing April 15, a 60-second spot titled “Deliver” that is all about reintroducing the governor to Ohio’s voters. Kasich’s campaign followed that up with a second ad. More recently the Republican Governors Association has been airing an ad on his behalf.
    “Democratic County Executive Ed FitzGerald remains unknown to many voters,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a statement. “Democratic optimists will argue that with six months until Election Day, FitzGerald has a golden opportunity to reach all those voters. He’s going to have to spend a lot of money on that introduction while the better-funded Kasich will introduce FitzGerald to those same voters in a much less flattering way.”
    FitzGerald polled better among women than men, but still trailed the governor. Kasich’s lead among among men was 56 percent to 30 percent in the new poll. Among women, the governor leads 45 percent to 40 percent.
    Forty-seven percent of the polls respondents said they had a favorable opinion of the governor, compared to 29 percent who viewed him unfavorably.
    Ohio’s jobless rate has fallen since Quinnipiac’s last poll. -- from 6.5 percent in February to 6.1 percent in March. April’s figures should be released shortly.
    And the governor scored well on his handling of the economy.
    “Voters give [Kasich] sterling grades for his job performance, especially on the economy,” Brown said. “He gets plus-50 percent approval ratings from voters on his handling of the economy and the state budget. These numbers are crucial because the economy and jobs are the most important issues in the minds of voters.”
    Twenty-six percent of those polled said jobs was the most important issue to them in the gubernatorial election. The next closest was education, which 7 percent said was most important.
    “Voters think Gov. Kasich deserves another term and two-thirds consider him a strong leader," Brown said. "A small majority says he cares about their needs, a measure on which Republicans, even successful ones, often don’t do that well. And perhaps most important for Kasich’s re-election, 60 percent of voters are satisfied with the way things are going in the state.”
    Quinnipiac’s poll follows one in April that also showed the governor with a widening lead.
    A SurveyUSA poll of likely voters done for Columbus TV station WCMH Channel 4 had Kasich at 46 percent, FitzGerald at 36 percent.

    http://www.cleveland.com/open/index...._lead_ove.html
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    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    Republican Governors Association

    US News & World Report: "Two Parties, Two Directions on Taxes"

    "The divide between America’s two major political parties is easiest to see on the issue of taxes. Republican governors want to keep them as low as possible in order to stimulate growth in the economy. Democrats governors want to raise them as a means of redistributing the nation’s wealth."



    Ahead of 2016, Republicans Governors Cut Taxes While Democrats Raise Them - US News
    Republican governors have been cutting taxes, while Democrats have been raising...
    U.S. News and World Report|By Peter Roff

    Two Parties, Two Directions on Taxes

    Republican governors have been cutting taxes, while Democrats have been raising them.

    Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn, raising lots of taxes.
    By Peter Roff May 13, 2014 3 Comments SHARE

    The divide between America’s two major political parties is easiest to see on the issue of taxes. Republicans want to keep them as low as possible in order to stimulate growth in the economy. Democrats want to raise them as a means of redistributing the nation’s wealth.
    It’s not surprising, therefore, that when given the choice on this single issue, most voters side with the Republicans. The political influence of groups like Americans for Tax Reform, which offers candidates for state and federal office the opportunity to “take the pledge” to vote against efforts to increase taxes, only underscores this point.
    With the U.S. economy continually in such dire straights, the tax issue is sure to play a major role in the presidential campaign of 2016. The records of the various governors who might want to be president should be, therefore, of considerable interest, even to those who have already decided the race is between former Florida GOP Gov. Jeb Bush, who cut taxes during his eight years in office, and former first lady and Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, who strongly supported the tax increase championed by her president husband back in 1993.
    [GALLERY: Cartoons on the Economy]
    In a new report, Americans for Tax Reform has compiled a list of all the tax increases Democratic governors have imposed on their states since 2011 – and it’s not pretty.
    The report finds that, while Republican governors have signed into law more than $36 billion in tax relief since 2011, their partisan counterparts have increased or tried to increase the levies on individuals and businesses by more than $58 billion over the same time period.
    Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn, the incumbent Democrat considered right now as most likely to lose his re-election bid, is the biggest tax hiker, ATR found, layering more than $27 billion in additional taxes and fees onto the state’s already teetering economy.
    Maryland’s Martin O’Malley, who apparently thinks the job he has done in Annapolis qualifies him to be the next president of the United States, is second on the list, having raised taxes on Marylanders by more than $3 billion since 2011 and by more than $11 billion during the entire time he’s been governor.
    ATR is careful in its report to point out that the $58 billion figure includes the tax hikes pushed by Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown in California that were also approved by the voters. Without those, the amount of taxes hiked comes in around $40 billion, which is still a lot of money no matter how you slice it.
    “In general,” ATR said, “ Democrat governors have been increasing taxes in their states, while Republican governors have been moving in the opposite direction. With some of the politicians on this list considering a White House run, this is a compilation worth saving.” Indeed, given that total U.S. indebtedness at the federal level has, under Barack Obama, reached a level roughly equal to one years U.S. GDP, it will not be long before the chickens come home to roost. Policymakers can continue to wrestle with austerity programs that focus more on painful spending cuts than anything else, or they can get serious about growing the economy.
    [SEE: Cartoons on the Democratic Party]
    As Calvin Coolidge, Jack Kennedy, and Ronald Reagan showed – and as Republican governors around the country are continuing to do – it is possible to stimulate economic activity by cutting taxes. It’s not a silver bullet by any means, and some tax cuts are limited in their overall economic impact, but it is a good place to start. It’s time to seriously consider reductions in the taxes imposed on savings and investment, on capital gains, on personal marginal rates and on the corporate side. Too many people are unaware that America’s corporate tax rate is not just the highest in the industrialized world, but that its structure forces companies to leave billions of dollars invested overseas because they would be doubly taxed if brought home.
    These are not difficult things to understand or, for that matter, to rectify. Unfortunately, the party that likes tax increases and never found a tax it couldn’t figure out how to raise is not interested in cooperating. So consumed are the Democrats by class warfare rhetoric and envy that they will only accede to fundamental tax reform if it means the people who have more now end up paying more, now and later – even though they‘re already paying more than everyone else.
    All rhetoric aside, you just have to look at the results. At the state level, under the Democrats, $58 billion in higher taxes in just over two years. Under the Republicans over the same period, $36 billion in tax relief. As it is in golf, the lower number is the better number.


    http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/...ats-raise-them
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