Wall Street Journal

New Monmouth Poll Shows Clinton With 9-Point Lead in Florida

By Julian Routh


Aug 16, 2016 3:37 pm ET 1 COMMENTS

A new poll shows Hillary Clinton with a 9-point lead over Donald Trump in Florida, a key battleground state that has helped decide the winner of 12 of the last 13 presidential elections.
Mrs. Clinton’s 48% to 39% lead over her Republican rival among likely voters in a Monmouth University poll released Tuesday is built on her significant advantage among minority voters and white women in the state.
She has a 10-point lead, 49% to 39%, among white women in Florida, a group 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney won by 17 points. The former secretary of state continues to have the overwhelming support of nonwhite voters, holding a 50-point lead, 69% to 19%, among Hispanic, black and Asian voters.



Meanwhile, Mr. Trump is performing much better among white men in Florida, at 64% to 24%, the poll showed, ahead of Mr. Romney’s 32-point advantage over Barack Obama.
“He’s not making any inroads at all among nonwhite voters,” Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said of Mr. Trump. “In order to win, he’s got to be better among white voters, and he’s doing that among white men, but not white women. His improvement among white men over past Republicans is more than offset by how many white women are turned off by his campaign and are going to Hillary.”
The new Monmouth poll also shows Florida Sen. Marco Rubio leading the two Democratic challengers to his reelection bid. He holds a small advantage over Patrick Murphy, 48% to 43%, and a larger 50% to 39% lead over Alan Grayson.
The Monmouth poll of 402 likely voters in Florida was conducted Aug. 12 to 15, and has a margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 points.