Thread: Pow: It's just a 2-point race, Clinton 38%, Trump 36%

Pow: It's just a 2-point race, Clinton 38%, Trump 36%

By Paul Bedard (@SecretsBedard) • 8/16/16 2:57 PM

The convention polling bumps for Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are over, and they are practically even, according to a new poll of likely voters.

A Zogby Analytics survey provided to Secrets Tuesday shows:

Hillary Clinton 38%

Donald Trump 36%

Libertarian Gary Johnson 8%

Green Party Jill Stein 5%

Not sure 13%

"It seems the convention bumps are behind us and we are back to a close race!" said the analysis.

What's new in the online poll is that older millennials are starting to trend to Trump.

Trump's team believes that online polls more accurately show the horserace because more and more voters prefer to give their opinions anonymously.

Pollster John Zogby is a specialist in digging into specific voting blocks, some of which he has given names like NASCAR and Weekly Walmart voters. Zogby revealed in the new poll analysis that those two groups of voters trended Democratic under President Obama, but are now behind Trump.

Overall, Zogby said that Clinton leads middle income voters, blacks, women and Hispanics. Trump leads among independents, men and older voters.

The takeaways from Zogby Analytics' analysis:

— Donald Trump continues to lead among his core groups, which are men, he leads Clinton 41% to 35%. He also leads Clinton among older likely voters such as 50-64 year olds (41%-36%), and those 65+ (44%-36%).

— Trump's numbers have dipped a little among middle income voters, Hillary Clinton now leads among those voters who earn $35k-50k (38%-37%), $50k-75K (37%-34%) and $75-100k (45-35%). Clinton also leads big among her core base-Millennials 18-29 years old (36%-26%), 18-24 year olds (59%-22%), Hispanics (51%-18%) and African Americans (81%-8%), which is not a big surprise. She has also won back the support of women voters, which Trump had narrowed the gap in our last poll; Clinton is winning among women 42% to 32%.

— Trump has kept the race close by winning Independents. He is winning Independents 32% to 26% and has also closed the gap among older Millennials. Trump is tied with Clinton at 30% among 25-34 year old voters.

Paul Bedard, the Washington Examiner's "Washington Secrets" columnist, can be contacted at pbedard@washingtonexa

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/po...rticle/2599471

Some good news that closely matches the LA Times/USC poll and the Rasmussen Poll, within 1% on one and 1.5% on the other. There will be more good news soon.

They are still rigged and the election most likely will be also. Pray we don't end up with a president that short circuits and has forgets where she is.

Wall Street Journal

New Monmouth Poll Shows Clinton With 9-Point Lead in Florida

By Julian Routh


Aug 16, 2016 3:37 pm ET 1 COMMENTS

A new poll shows Hillary Clinton with a 9-point lead over Donald Trump in Florida, a key battleground state that has helped decide the winner of 12 of the last 13 presidential elections.
Mrs. Clinton’s 48% to 39% lead over her Republican rival among likely voters in a Monmouth University poll released Tuesday is built on her significant advantage among minority voters and white women in the state.
She has a 10-point lead, 49% to 39%, among white women in Florida, a group 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney won by 17 points. The former secretary of state continues to have the overwhelming support of nonwhite voters, holding a 50-point lead, 69% to 19%, among Hispanic, black and Asian voters.



Meanwhile, Mr. Trump is performing much better among white men in Florida, at 64% to 24%, the poll showed, ahead of Mr. Romney’s 32-point advantage over Barack Obama.
“He’s not making any inroads at all among nonwhite voters,” Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said of Mr. Trump. “In order to win, he’s got to be better among white voters, and he’s doing that among white men, but not white women. His improvement among white men over past Republicans is more than offset by how many white women are turned off by his campaign and are going to Hillary.”
The new Monmouth poll also shows Florida Sen. Marco Rubio leading the two Democratic challengers to his reelection bid. He holds a small advantage over Patrick Murphy, 48% to 43%, and a larger 50% to 39% lead over Alan Grayson.
The Monmouth poll of 402 likely voters in Florida was conducted Aug. 12 to 15, and has a margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 points.

It's the Libertarians that are going to be the spoilers. A lot of young people with an immature moral background think that Libertarianism would be a viable solution between the two major choices. They repudiate the economic redistributionist scheme of the Democrats nut have a fuzzy minded optimism about people----and apparently are convinced their man is a practical alternative.