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Thread: Trump will lose, or I will eat this column

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  1. #1
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    Trump will lose, or I will eat this column

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...eac_story.html

    Trump will lose, or I will eat this column

    By Dana Milbank Opinion writer
    October 2 at 3:20 PM

    I never expected to write these words, but I miss Mitt Romney.

    On Wednesday, the day the front-runner for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination was in New Hampshire alleging that Syrian refugees fleeing for their lives may actually be clandestine terrorists, the 2012 Republican presidential nominee was in Washington, talking sense.

    “Donald Trump will not be the nominee,” Romney told a group of business-school students at Georgetown University. And why won’t Trump, who, when he isn’t besmirching Syrian refugees as terrorists, is maligning Mexican immigrants as rapists, get the nod? Because, Romney said, “when all is said and done, the American people usually do the right thing.”

    The Post’s Philip Rucker recorded Romney’s categorical prediction, and his rationale. “I know there’s some skunks in any endeavor — business, politics — and they get most of the visibility, but there are also some really good people,” Romney said. “The American people are a very good people and by and large find people of similar character to elect to the highest office in the land.”

    Romney is right. In fact, I’m so certain Trump won’t win the nomination that I’ll eat my words if he does. Literally: The day Trump clinches the nomination I will eat the page on which this column is printed in Sunday’s Post. I have this confidence for the same reason Romney does: Americans are better than Trump.

    The Post’s media critic, Paul Farhi, took me to task this week for expressing such a sentiment. I was one of the pundits he named as being “consistently wrong” in predicting Trump’s demise, one who “declared his candidacy dead or mortally wounded” while Trump instead “maintained his leading position in opinion polls.”

    Specifically, Farhi took issue with my Sept. 20 column, after the second Republican debate, when I asked: “Could this be the beginning of the end of Donald Trump?” I expressed the hope that “Trump will indeed succeed in making America great again — by motivating Americans, even fellow conservatives and Republicans, to repudiate his nonsense.” The media critic refuted my belief that Trump would fail by pointing to a new USA Today poll showing that Trump had gained six points since July.

    Alas for Farhi, the Post’s Philip Bump posted a piece 57 minutes earlier undermining the Trump-triumphant theme. Bump noted that Trump has shed eight points in polling averages from his peak before the second debate and that “there are signs that Trump is hitting the ceiling of his support” at 23 percent.

    More to the point, my prediction that Trump will ultimately fail isn’t about punditry or polling. It comes from faith that American voters are more sensible than many poll-obsessed journalists and commentators give them credit for. Trump (and Muslim-baiting Ben Carson) won’t prevail in the Republican primary because voters, in the end, tend to get it right.

    Republican primary voters may be angry at the political establishment, but they are not irrational: They don’t wish to nominate a sure loser. And Trump is that. Americans, in a general election, will never choose a candidate who expresses the bigotry and misogyny that Trump has, regardless of his attributes. (Similarly, liberals love Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary race, but ultimately Democrats won’t choose Sanders, because, regardless of their personal preferences, they know a socialist won’t be elected president.)

    Consider what Trump said in Keene, N.H., this week about those fleeing Syria in the largest refugee crisis since World War II. “This could be one of the great tactical ploys of all time,” he said of the desperate masses fleeing Syria’s civil war. “A 200,000-man army, maybe. . . . I don’t know that it is, but it could be possible.”

    And what would happen to the refugees under President Trump? “They’re going back,” he said.

    To their deaths, presumably.

    The same day Trump posited this paranoia, Romney was at Georgetown, telling students about an 1814 letter John Adams wrote to the political philosopher John Taylor. “Remember,” the nation’s second president wrote, “democracy never last long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself. There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide.”

    Ours hasn’t — yet. “We’ve beaten the odds,” Romney said, “in part because we’ve had, I think, people of real character who have led our country as presidents . . . and the American people have risen to the occasion time and again and have in fact then elected good people.”

    I second Romney’s analysis. No matter what 2015 polls say, 2016 won’t be the year American democracy murders itself.
    Last edited by Judy; 10-03-2015 at 12:06 AM.

  2. #2
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    In fact, I’m so certain Trump won’t win the nomination that I’ll eat my words if he does. Literally: The day Trump clinches the nomination I will eat the page on which this column is printed in Sunday’s Post. I have this confidence for the same reason Romney does: Americans are better than Trump.
    Send us your address so we can send you some mustard to eat with that paper sandwich. It might go down a little better.

    Can you imagine how beautiful the Trump Inauguration will be? Can't you see it?! That will be an Inauguration Night worth ordering pizza and staying up to watch. Maybe he'll hold the parties and dances at the Trump International Hotel Washington DC, the hotel he's putting in the the Ole Post Office site. It is going to be so beautiful with huge ballrooms.

    He shouldn't invite any of these people who write these terrible articles. And, I bet he won't!!

    They can go have their own Losers Party with Mitt Romney at the Ramada.

    Last edited by Judy; 10-03-2015 at 12:00 AM.
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    Judy, Mayday and Jean like this.

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    If Romney is talking about electing the right people, I have not seen evidence proving him correct the past thirty years or so.
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  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by kevinssdad View Post
    If Romney is talking about electing the right people, I have not seen evidence proving him correct the past thirty years or so.
    We've clearly been electing the wrong people. If we'd been electing the right people, we wouldn't be in this mess, we wouldn't have this disaster, we wouldn't have budget deficits, national debt, trade deficits, unemployment, poverty and millions of illegal aliens and legal immigrants pouring in stealing our jobs. We'd have nice airports with free baggage, we'd have good roads and safe beautiful bridges, we'd have a great Amtrak with clean seats and a wonderful snack bar. We'd have beautiful efficient apartments with well-employed people in our urban areas, instead of urban sprawl, packed highways, and slums you wouldn't leave your pet in, let alone our fellow Americans.

    We'd see news about the opening of some wonderful new museum, library or park instead of Syrian refugees and US airstrikes on a hospital in Afghanistan. If we'd been electing the right people, our kids would be the best educated kids in the world, they would be able to afford college if they wanted to go, those who didn't would find great jobs and fantastic futures working for industry, building great products that are safe, smart, efficient and go years without a service call. If we were electing the right people all these years, we wouldn't be in this decline, we wouldn't be on the brink of bankruptcy, we wouldn't be in this situation. we're in.

    To fix the problems, we have to reverse the policies that caused them and start over.

    We can do that. We must do that. And for the most part, that means electing people we know in our heart, minds and gut want to do that and who will do that.

    2016 is the Year of Our Instincts. This will be the election year, that we vote our hearts, minds and guts, where our own common sense, intelligence and loyalty to the American People kick in, not what writers or pundits or commentators or political establishments tell US what to do or what we want. This election will be our election. Make the most of it. The momentum is there, use it. It may not be there forever, apathy is a hard thing to overcome, so when we see apathy waning and a movement coming on that's in our favor, our best interest, that's the time to mobilize and make the most of it.

    The decisions we make in this election will chart the course of our country for a very long time, and in my opinion is the single most important election since 1860.

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