Ruh-Roh! FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Hedges Bets — Pulls Back from His “Blue Wave” Prediction

by Jim Hoft November 4, 2018 262 Comments

Back in 2016 The Gateway Pundit was one of the VERY FEW major media publishers to predict a Donald J. Trump landslide victory.



We were right.

The liberal and Never-Trump media were wrong.

As previously reported by The Gateway Pundit…

** FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver polling says Democrats have an 84.8% chance of taking the US House of Representatives.
** FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver also gave Hillary Clinton a 72% chance of winning the 2016 election.
We predicted in September during the Kavanaugh hearings that there will be a Red Wave in the midterm election.
Today Republican early voting is off the charts. Republicans for THE FIRST TIME EVER are leading with early voting in Florida.

Now it looks like Nate Silver is hedging his bets.
Nate Silver ✔ @NateSilver538

This last set of Upshot/Siena polls has been pretty good for D's. They're polling in 11 districts now, and on average, the polls are coming in about 2-3 points better for Dems than the 538 Classic forecast from before the poll was entered.
5:27 PM - Nov 3, 2018





Nate Silver ✔ @NateSilver538

· Nov 3, 2018

This last set of Upshot/Siena polls has been pretty good for D's. They're polling in 11 districts now, and on average, the polls are coming in about 2-3 points better for Dems than the 538 Classic forecast from before the poll was entered.

Nate Silver ✔ @NateSilver538

I'm not at all convinced there's movement nationally toward Democrats—the generic ballot has been very flat. But, they may be closing well in swing districts because of their big spending advantage, which ought to be a bit scary for R's.
5:27 PM - Nov 3, 2018




HAH-HAH-HAH!

Maybe Nate Silver is reading The Gateway Pundit?

Hedging, Hedging, Hedging
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/201...ve-prediction/