Thread: With Osama bin Laden dead, Obama's job approval will jump th

With Osama bin Laden dead, Obama's job approval will jump this much (for this long)


Americans do not like losing. They also don't like not winning, those seemingly stalemated situations that look and feel murky.

Above most everything else, Americans like winning.

President Obama's community helpfulness in places like Libya, now enroute to awkward quagmire status because Kadafi hasn't lasted 42 years by accident, was dragging Obama down in the polls to near Jimmy Carter numbers just as today's Democrat launched his 2012 fundraising. Obama's tardy explanation for the Libya war produced no polling bounce for him.

The lame job situation. And weak recovery. And the deficit. And sagging consumer confidence. And his own stumbles. And the endless Afghan war weren't helping either.

So, not that any such thing would ever cross a president's mind, but how better to improve the political situation at home than enjoy a national security success abroad?

Kill a bad guy overseas and watch the deadly real reality show on live video via SEALcam in the White House (see photo above) Sunday afternoon. Then call a dramatic presidential address late on a Sunday evening with the side benefit of disrupting the NBC show of that annoying Donald Trump. Osama bin Laden now deceased on FBI 10 most wanted list 5-2-11

The intentional death of al Qaeda founder Osama bin Laden early Monday morning Pakistan time at the hands of Navy SEALs who don't shoot to wound touched a national nerve of retribution and celebration.

Yes, a helicopter went down, as it did during Carter's unsuccessful attempt to rescue U.S. hostages in Iran. But this president's orders succeeded.

President Obama actually could have whacked Obama back in March without risking American lives simply by ordering a bombing run or two over the Osama compound in Abbotabad.

But that would have vaporized anybody inside or nearby and not produced an identifiable body to snuff future Elvis is alive stories.

Thirty hours later Osama's body is reportedly sleeping with the fishes somewhere. But still no photo or positive ID proof released, already giving rise to online 'deather' conspiracies. However, it's official if the FBI changes Osama's status on its Top Ten list from "Wanted" to "Deceased."

Here's another certainty: President Obama is about to experience a substantial jump in his job approval, at least on national security.

The very smart folks over at Public Opinion Strategies have been studying presidential popularity bumps for a very long time. Their research goes back to President Roosevelt's counterintuitive bump in approval after the humiliating Pearl Harbor disaster.

And they can now predict that Obama is likely to experience a 13-point bounce in approval. That would get the guy up from the low 40s to back above the symbolic 50% approval level.

And Stephen Kinney and his crew can also predict that Obama's bump in approval will last about 22 weeks.

That's roughly until the first week of October when, the Chicago crowd desperately hopes, the sagged economy will be unsagging sufficiently to deny feuding Republicans a palpable issue for their primary/caucus contests that will dominate political news come next winter.

In terms of duration Obama's bump would be on the lower end of POTUS approval jumps, about the same as John F. Kennedy's 12 point jump after the Cuban missile crisis but not as good as George W. Bush's 15 point jump after capturing the also departed Saddam Hussein.

Kennedy's bump lasted a good long 40 weeks. Bush's Saddam bounce endured only seven weeks, but the 43rd president's bounce after his handling of the 9/11 attacks lasted two years.

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washing ... -poll.html

How high - and long - could Obama's approval bounce be?By Carrie Dann
Today’s news cycle will address remaining key questions about the death of Osama bin Laden – how he was located, who knew what when, and what exactly happened in the 40 minutes leading up to the shooting of the world’s most wanted terrorist.

But, soon afterwards, the question on the minds of many political reporters – and the president’s political opponents – will be about “the bounce.â€

Thirty hours later Osama's body is reportedly sleeping with the fishes somewhere. But still no photo or positive ID proof released, already giving rise to online 'deather' conspiracies. However, it's official if the FBI changes Osama's status on its Top Ten list from "Wanted" to "Deceased."

This whole thing reminds me of a person who is going to court throwing away the evidence they need to prove their case, then telling the judge......I threw away the evidence but I know you will believe me BECAUSE........

Not gonna fly with me.......without the body and positive ID there is no proof that who sleeps with the fishes is Bin Laden all we have is Obama's word and where has that gotten us in the past?

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What does that say about the American voting public that despite all that Obama has done that most Americans would do a complete 180, forget about all he's done and vote for him just because he happened to be the president residing over Osama Bin Laden's death? We the American people really are a fickle bunch with short memories that can be easily manipulated. Pathetic. Anyone with a functioning brain should see that all is not well just because of this. One supposed good deed doesn't erase a ton of bad deeds.

Killing OBL doesn't change anything about the problems this country is facing and the sooner people see through this charade the better. Stop allowing yourselves to be played like fools American people.